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Abbreviated Pundit Abstract: Because the voters gels, Trump's issues escalate



"Everyone sees the train crash coming": Trump unveils his November final

After more than four years of uninterrupted allegations of electoral fraud and allegations that he might not accept the election results, the president has not kept his intentions a secret.

After more than four years of uninterrupted electoral fraud, implications that he may not accept the results of the presidential election, and at least one statement about the November election delay, it's no secret. Trump's refusal to commit to a peaceful transfer of power this week – and his decision not to go back on Thursday in the face of widespread unease – merely translates his strategic intent into terms both parties can understand.

As a result, Republicans can no longer truthfully deny that Trump may not be ready to step down in case he is defeated. And now the Democrats must face the possibility that they may not have the power to stop him.

It is an unprecedented backdrop for a modern presidential race that could push the electoral process to its limits and almost guarantee a chaotic, divisive end to the election campaign.

The problem with introducing a nominee is that if the nominee has a paper trail of extremism, then every R including the swing state Rs must be running on it.

– Jennifer & # 39; Vote Early & # 39; Ruby (@JRubinBlogger) September 25, 2020

Perhaps the polls are wrong and there are definitely concerns in some segments of the D population, but there isn't a lot of outside data to suggest Biden is screwing it up

– Nick Riccardi (@NickRiccardi) September 25, 2020

Timothy L. O & # 39; Brien / Bloomberg:

Elections aren't the only things Trump thinks rigged

It is always someone else's fault when things turn against them.

It is, of course, worth worrying about how deeply Trump is corrupting the election – and closely monitoring him. After all, he corrupted many people around him, including his own children. And, as Barton Gellman pointed out in a meticulously reported and provocative article in the Atlantic this week, Trump has powerful tools to improve results – on and well after election day. My colleague Jonathan Bernstein sorts Gellman's key conclusions here, including the willingness of Republicans in swing states to support a Trump coup.

But with all the crafting of what he may or may not do, don't let Trump snatch your own agency and attention away from you. David Axelrod, as clever and experienced a political observer as he is, reminded everyone not to be unduly distracted by Trump's performance art. "They wonder if the POTUS would let us talk about its outrageous comments on the elections rather than the 202,000 deaths from COVID-19 or the 870,000 additional Americans who filed for unemployment this week," he tweeted.

This faithful representation of facts on the ground is absolutely brutal.

– Adrianna McIntyre (@onceuponA) September 24, 2020


This is how the pandemic ends

A vaccine by the beginning of 2021, a steady decline in cases by next autumn and back to normal in a few years – 11 top experts are looking to the future.

“To get this virus under control, you need two things: hygiene and a vaccine. And you can't have one without the other, ”said Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center and attending physician in the Infectious Disease Department at the Children's Hospital in Philadelphia.

The future described above is the most likely scenario for the end of the pandemic, based on interviews with 11 top-level experts who ponder the future of these microscopic SARS-CoV-2 particles every day.

Bob Haldeman is a neutral and fair person here. Just as neutral and fair as our AG, John Mitchell.

– Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) September 25, 2020

Greg Sargent / WaPo:

Trump has openly told us exactly what he was up to

In this interpretation, Trump simply refuses to undertake his civic duty to give his personal blessing to a loss of an election. At its outer limit, this is viewed as alarming as it could fuel violence among supporters. As CNN put it, it is a "refusal to ensure a nonviolent transition".

But what's really important here is that Trump make an actual statement of intent – not just refusing to respect the outcome, but trying to cancel and override it if he can get away with it.

There's little evidence to suggest there's a large cache of "shy Trump voters," @DavidLauter says. And those who are there are likely to be balanced by hidden Biden voters – Biden supporters, for example, who keep it quiet because their spouses support Trump.

– Janet Hook (@hookjan) September 25, 2020


How many "naked ballots" will there be in Pennsylvania?

It's hard to say as 2020 will be the first year Pennsylvania will allow all voters to vote by mail. A Philadelphia election officer, Lisa Deeley, has estimated that the verdict could result in more than 100,000 votes not being counted.

In 2016, Trump won Pennsylvania by a narrow margin of around 44,000 votes out of more than 6 million votes cast, a difference of 0.72%.

Deeley, chairman of the three-person board of directors overseeing the Philadelphia elections, wrote in a letter to lawmakers that the ruling will create "significant post-election legal controversy unlike anything we have seen since Florida in 2000."

GOP argument in 2016 was that voters should hear their voice when it comes to who they want to fill the vacancy. Taking a poll is not a choice, but this is not a narrow margin.

– Aaron Blake (@AaronBlake) September 25, 2020

Josh Putnam:

It was September 1 The last thing there was a change in all votes at the FHQ. Then it was Ohio drifting over the partisan line onto Toss Up Trump's lawn. And in the post-convention era, it was not unreasonable to believe that as the race progressed, Buckeye State would not necessarily jump the guerrilla line to join the Biden coalition of states. Well, that near Ohio has stayed for the past few weeks, and based on yesterday's Fox News poll, the state has actually returned to the Toss Up Biden area, increasing the projected total number of the former Vice President's total vote to 353 that would Biden between Put Obama 2008 on the high end and Obama 2012 on the low end.
There are 39 days to election day as the race starts on that final weekend before the first presidential debate next week. So there is still time for things to change. And Ohio could very well be the first to return across the partisan line. Biden's current lead is not exactly insurmountable 0.08 points.

"I just pray the swarm of election correspondents don't look here …" McNealy whispered … in hopes of losing the experts who tirelessly staked every swing state diner, park, and farmer's market in the nation .https: //

– Natalie Jackson (@ nataliemj10) September 25, 2020

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