In his 50 years Foreign policy has published a wide range of opinions about the course of US foreign policy. When US President-elect Joe Biden took office and the magazine was looking forward to the next 50 years, we asked numerous experts – including academics, practitioners and commentators – what to expect in the coming years.
“The United States wasted $ 5 trillion on its wars after September 11th. During the same period, the American working classes have suffered. That money should be spent on them. "
– Kishore Mahbubani, author of Did China Win?
"The United States will need a more proactive foreign policy, but it is clear that we must do a better job of connecting it to our domestic political challenges and recognizing that we have work to do too." It is insincere for the United States to admonish other countries … from the standpoint of moral superiority. Instead, our approach should be that we all face these challenges and work together as partners. "
—Lesley Anne Warner, senior professional, House Foreign Affairs Committee
“There will be no shortage of challenges in the coming decades. In the face of adversity, US citizens – especially those from marginalized communities – have pushed us to make progress. That fact makes me optimistic. Nevertheless, we are facing major structural challenges that seem to keep us divided and which are intended to silence the voices of large sections of the population. It will be up to our leaders to address these issues and listen to citizens calling for systemic change. "
—Kehinde A. Togun, Senior Director, Political and Government Relations, Humanity United
“We have a lot of work to do on climate and not a lot of time to achieve this. What is needed is radical collective change, and this is especially difficult to achieve in a nation that is divided on fundamental issues, including whether there is climate change, who counts as citizens, and who gets to vote. "
– Leah Downey, political scientist at Harvard University
Which country will dominate geopolitics in the next 50 years?
"The" competition "for geopolitical rule will be between the United States and China. The key to determining the outcome is whether the United States can overcome its current political polarization and dysfunction. If possible, and American governments focus on that can build alliances that can counteract and contain without unduly angering China, there is no reason to believe that the United States cannot remain a world power. "
– Sheri Berman, professor at Barnard College, Columbia University
"Good or bad, we will not be able to ignore 20 percent of the world's population with the second strongest military and what will likely soon be the largest economy."
– Elizabeth Economy, Senior Fellow, External Relations Council
"Multipolarity is going nowhere, and given the consolidation of power in regions, there is no reason to believe that this will remain a game of great power even after 50 years."
– Toni Haastrup, lecturer at the University of Stirling
“An accident between China and the United States (or China and an ally in the United States) is most likely to spark armed conflict. If allies are not supported, the US alliance system will be broken. "
– Michael Auslin, Distinguished Research Fellow, Hoover Institution
"Nuclear weapons will remain a successful deterrent to great power war."
– Anne-Marie Slaughter, CEO, New America
87 people responded to the FP survey. Note: Due to rounding, some numbers add up to more than 100 percent.