Through which districts of the Home of Representatives have the 2020 presidential elections modified probably the most?
The biggest move to the left was in the 3rd District of Texas, which rose from 55-41 Trump in 2016 to just 50-49 Trump last year – a shift of 13 points. Located in the affluent suburbs north of Dallas, the hotel is represented by Republican MP Van Taylor. Third place in Texas has the highest percentage of college or university graduates in any district still held by the GOP. 54% of adults have graduated from college. Taylor still managed to run well in front of the top of the ticket and beat Democrat Lulu Seikaly 55:43.
The biggest deviation in the opposite direction was the 26th district of Florida in the Miami area, which rose from 57-41 Clinton to 53-47 Trump in 2020 and scored a mammoth swing of 22 points. That shift also helped Republican MP Carlos Giménez change the seat of Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who herself had just ousted a Republican who served in the 2018 blue wave. The 26th has a large Cuban-American population who have traditionally supported the GOP in large numbers, and also hosts many with ancestors from other parts of Latin America.
In addition to the traditional map above, we've created a cartogram below that shows each district the same size so that dense urban districts are not obscured and rural districts are not overemphasized (with a larger version here):
The two charts below show us who actually represents each of these districts, along with the 2020 house, 2020 and 2016 presidential election results, and a comparison of the 2020 house and president results in each district. The first version below shows the boroughs that have shifted the furthest to the left (a larger version can be found here):
The second graphic below shows the boroughs that have shifted the most to the right (a larger version can be found here):
For house and president election results for each district, see our table of 117th Convention Guide, as well as a variety of other demographic statistics on the districts and the members they represent.