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Abbreviated Pundit Abstract: Confused About J&J Vaccination Break? Listed here are some skilled opinions


– The benefit-risk profile depends on the age, likely gender and incidence of the population
– As we have seen in Europe, one way forward can be vaccination policy, which varies according to age and gender
– Understanding the causal mechanism can help us develop targeted strategies and possible treatments

– Natalie E. Dean, PhD (@nataliexdean) April 13, 2021

Megan Ranney, MD MPH:

I have a lot of thoughts about the J&J vaccine hiatus.
The biggest thing is that I'm glad we're doing good science and post-vaccination surveillance. The second is that this association is very small, even if it is real. More below:

The US recommends a hiatus for the J&J vaccine because of clot reports

Science and medicine, like life, are full of risks and benefits.

At the moment there is a risk of being caught # Covid19 & getting a bad complication is much higher than this very rare adverse effect.

BUT – for some groups (women? Young women?) This assumption may not be true.


This is a very nice, very clear explanation for Johnson & Johnson's vaccination break. If you want to understand, check out @ BethSkw's article at

– Dr. Ellie Murray (@EpiEllie) April 13, 2021

Philip Bump / WaPo:

A quarter of the country will not receive the coronavirus vaccine. Half of them trust Trump's medical advice.

The challenge for the world is that vaccine adoption is relatively slow. The coronavirus vaccines were developed at lightning speed, but many parts of the world are still waiting for sufficient supplies to largely immunize their populations. In the United States, the challenge is different: about a quarter of American adults say they have no plans to get vaccinated against the virus Economist YouGov poll released last week.

This is problematic in part because we are less likely to achieve herd immunity without infecting millions more Americans. Again, it is not clear how effective natural immunity will be in the long run when new variants of the virus emerge. So we could continue to see tens of thousands of new infections every day, largely putting the population at risk by delaying herd immunity and further increasing the pandemic death toll in this country.

But we also see the same thing as we do from the Economist YouGov poll looked in Gallup poll Earlier this month: The people who are least interested in getting a vaccination are also the people who are least concerned about the virus and who are taking other steps to prevent it from spreading.


Biden rightly does so and the timing is appropriate. We have to be prepared for unfortunate results in Afghanistan, but these were always likely. Our national interests can be better protected through diplomacy and forces deployed elsewhere.

– David Rothkopf (@djrothkopf) April 13, 2021

James Hamblin / Atlantic:

The wrong dilemma of risk after vaccination

We'll never know exactly how contagious people are after they've been vaccinated, but we do know how to behave.

More than 1 million American deltoid muscles are loaded with a vaccine every day. The resulting immune response has been shown to be extremely effective – essentially perfect – in preventing severe cases of COVID-19. And now with another highly effective vaccine against that Shortly before approval, this pace is likely to accelerate further in the coming weeks.

This creates a legion of people who no longer have to fear getting sick and who are desperate to return to "normal" life. However, the report as to whether they might still carry and spread the disease – and whether it is really safe for them to resume their exposed, detached life – was crooked. Anthony Fauci said last week on CNN that "it is conceivable, maybe likely" that vaccinated people could get the coronavirus and then pass it on to someone else, and that in some time more will be known about that likelihood, "as we follow later -up studies. "CDC director Rochelle Walensky was no longer final Meet the press A few days earlier she said to the hostess: "We don't have a lot of data yet to ask the exact question you are asking."

The experts who ask for patience are of course right. There are myriad details of physiology and molecular immunology yet to be understood, and we don't know how quickly transmission rates will drop if large numbers of people are vaccinated. At the individual level, the right advice on what constitutes safe behavior does not depend on a scientific study, the results of which are still pending. It depends on what is happening in the world around us.

Starting today, I would act differently in Michigan than in other states.


An intriguing political data point I never hear of anyone talking about: Biden's Democratic support in Gallup's polls has been as high or higher than GOP support for Trump has ever been.

– Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) April 12, 2021

Jeremy Faust:

Can vaccinated people who get coronavirus spread it? We'll know sometime this year.

Enter the National Institute for Allergies and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) led by Dr. Anthony Fauci. NIAID just announced a study that will be conducted at 22 US universities. The study is called PreventCovidU. The website is explicitly (if awkward) geared towards Generation Z students and includes abbreviations that "the kids are using", such as "TL; DR" ("too long, not read") and "jk" (just kidding) to try to break the ice.

Unlike other studies of vaccines in the US, participants are required to deliver swabs on a daily basis. In addition, over 25,000 "close contacts" will be invited to participate in the study so researchers can see how often infected participants spread the virus and on how many of their contacts. Of course, asking students to remember who they've crossed with in the past few weeks (or who they partied with) could be a challenge, which may result in the data collected being difficult to fully interpret can.


White nationalists recognize their own arguments and know an ally when they see one.
The praise of the white nationalists alone would not identify Tucker as such. His conspiracy theory of "third world" immigrants being tricked into "watering down" and "replacing" Americans does so.

– Nicholas Grossman (@ NGrossman81) April 13, 2021

Greg Sargent / WaPo:

Republicans have found another way to cheat their own voters

"Small Business Employees."

Get ready to hear that phrase a lot over the coming months as Republicans prepare to attack proposed corporate tax hikes that would fund President Biden's new employment plan.

Senator Roger Wicker used this phrase twice in multiple sentences on ABC News 'This Week.' The Mississippi Republican asserts Biden's plan would include a "massive tax hike on small business job creation" to fund "massive social spending."

That reflects that widespread GOP claim so much of Biden's plan doesn't count as "real" infrastructure. So the GOP attack is that the plan harms virtuous small business owners to fund breezy liberal social engineering (healthcare, research and development) rather than roads and bridges made of salt of the earth.


John Boehner voted for Trump in 2020. Just because he's doing entertaining digs at Ted Cruz or Fox News doesn't mean he's not as morally bankrupt and dangerous as those who are attacking now to improve his image and benefit from his career.

– Kurt Bardella (@kurtbardella) April 13, 2021

David Frum / Atlantic:

Republicans make 4 important mistakes

Republicans are blinded by misperceptions and anger – and their actions to suppress voters can backfire.

For now, leave aside whether these laws are fair or democratic. Instead, let's look at them from the perspective of practical politicians. Will they produce the results intended?

Almost all of the new laws pose new barriers to postal voting. Republican officials don't like postal voting in 2021 because there were Biden voters in 2020 much more likely as a Trump voter to use a postal vote.

However, this pro-bid propensity for absentee voting appears to be a one-off event, due more to varying responses to the coronavirus threat than to ordinary voting behavior. (Forty percent of the Biden postal voters cited fear of the virus as the reason for their postal vote.)

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