GOP leaders search to delve into six inner information exhibiting that Trump is a complete legal responsibility in aggressive districts
Even when a GOP member asked direct questions in support of Trump, the staff who ran the brief refused to go clean.
In short, not only are they living Trump's lie about the last election, they are also weaving their own lie about the next election.
It's the kind of self-deceptive misjudgment that could really undermine their chances in critical swing districts, especially if the party is lurching to the right to keep Trumpers busy and energized for the meantime.
As I wrote in a post a few weeks ago, it's impossible to imagine GOP hardcore encompassing the political fringes of Trump's base without somehow disrupting his relationship with high profile college graduates. It is a group that has already moved further away from the party in the last two election cycles. And yes, I'm assuming "core wards" are likely referring to upbeat suburban boroughs.
In Georgia, for example, Biden's victory was largely fueled by the shift between suburban voters, college graduates, and high-income individuals by voter turnout data from the New York Times. Here's how they moved from 2016 to 2020:
High income earners: +7 points more democratic
Majority graduates: +6 points more democratic
Suburbs: +6 points more democratic
Another metric that seems to support what is reported in the Post is Trump's nationwide benevolent rating among independent college graduates, which is roughly 15 points underwater (17 points to be precise).
To be clear, the lack of specificity in the Post's reporting of its internal GOP data, as well as the fact that it is simply too early to figure out which districts will be at stake, makes it impossible to draw too many conclusions.
But the GOP's shift to the right was both real and undeniably overt, and Trump's unpopularity with suburban voters is demonstrably real, too. Bottom line: If Republican leaders lie to their conference about Trump's overall burden on their candidates, it may not be good news for the strategy they are planning for 2022.