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Morning Digest: California Governor Gavin Newsom defeats the recall vote in a landslide

The campaign to remove Newsom from office in solid Democratic California looked like a long shot after that became clear in late April that it would make the ballot thanks to the low signature requirements of the state, but Democrats became concerned over the summer that the governor's efforts were posing a real threat. While California had grown clearly bluer Ever since Democratic Governor Gray Davis was removed from office in 2003 and replaced by Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger, Newsom's allies feared that apathy and complacency could keep voters at home. Democrats also worried that a resurgent pandemic and the state's deadly fire season could undermine support for Newsom at its worst.

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While Survey only in June showed the recall failed in double digits, a series of polls that began in mid-July with the "no" side just ahead, and in particular an independent survey by SurveyUSA in August that actually found a "yes" to a The lead of 51:40 prevailed, only heightened Team Blue's fear. Meanwhile, some Republicans hoped Elderwho was a nationwide syndicated radio host and frequent Fox guest, would power their own base and help them create a surprise.

Elder had emerged as the undisputed frontrunner against internal party rivals such as former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, who for years was considered one of the only rising stars of the GOP in the state; 2018 gubernatorial candidate John Cox, who briefly attracted national attention when he fought a 1,000 pound black bear; Rep. Kevin Kiley, the himself published a book calling on voters to call Newsom back; and reality TV star Caitlyn Jenner who actually canceled the election campaign to shoot a season of "Celebrity Big Brother" in Australia. But when Elder helped Republicans win their constituencies, it came at an enormous cost to the GOP.

The well-funded Newsom that outperformed opponents almost two to one, worked hard Frame the recall as an option between a Democratic governor who took the pandemic seriously and an extremist opponent of vaccination and mask mandates. Elder himself was only too happy to advertise as a far-right supporter of Donald Trump in a state that Joe Biden had worn 63-34. Among other things, the radio presenter explained that there are "gimmicks" in the 2020 elections; said he would appoint a Republican should the seat of the Democrat Dianne Feinstein become vacant in the Senate; and stood by his writings from 2002 and asked, “Are there legitimate business reasons for a venture capitalist to ask a female entrepreneur if and when she would like to have children? In any case."

Polls in the past few weeks overwhelmingly showed that Newsom was way ahead, despite it being remains unclear when his summer swoon was the result of grassroots elections or a temporarily underexposed electorate. Prominent Republicans saw where the race was headed, however, and loudly spread lies ahead of the election about the legitimacy of Newsom's impending victory. Trump card passed the day before the vote that the competition "likely manipulated, ”while Elder advertised a website He claimed he had "discovered fraud" leading to "the reinstatement of Governor Gavin Newsom as governor" five days before polling stations were closed.

Election reviews

Mayor of Boston, MA: During a Long delay in reporting on election night meant that very few ballots were tabulated when we put the digest to bed. All major candidates behave as if the November 2nd general election would be a battle between councilors Michelle Wu and Annissa Essaibi George. Wu declared the victory, while fellow councilor Andrea Campbell admitted, saying that both Wu and Essaibi George had advanced. Acting Mayor Kim Janey also made a statement stating that "it appears we have come up short in trying to keep the office".

Cleveland, OH Mayor: Cleveland held its non-partisan primary on Tuesday, and the head of the nonprofit Justin Bibb will run against City Council President Kevin Kelley in November's general election. Bibb leads with 27% of 39,000 votes, while Kelley beat ex-Rep Dennis Kucinich for second place at 19-17.


CO government: University of Colorado regent Heidi Ganahl, who is the only Republican in office nationwide, announced Tuesday that she would challenge Democratic governor Jared Polis.

Ganahl starts out as a strong front runner in a primary that includes businessman Greg Lopez, who finished a distant third place in the 2018 nomination contest, but even she admitted in June that beating Polis in the general would be a "moonlight". She has good reason to anticipate the need for an extravehicular mobility unit: this one-off swing state backed Joe Biden at 55-42, and a June poll by the democratic firm Global Strategy Group found Polis defeated Ganahl at 54-34.

MN-Gov: Kendall Qualls, Team Red's 2020 3rd Congressional District candidate, didn't rule out challenging Democratic Governor Tim Walz when asked on Monday. Qualls told Brian Bakst of Minnesota Public Radio, "I'm not even where I even know if there's a door to close because I'm not trying to frame one."

NE-Gov: The Republican Lt. Gov. Mike Foley is on what appears to be his first public statement on a possible 2022 campaign to succeed his boss, incumbent Pete Ricketts, but he gave us no insight into his plans.

When Paul Hammel of the Omaha World Herald Foley, who was at the State Capitol at the time, asked about his future on Friday, he replied, "When the dust settles in the 2022 election cycle, I hope to work in this building." Hammel says there is speculation that Foley might be considering running for state auditor, the post he held alongside his top job prior to his election as lieutenant governor in 2014.

WI-Gov: Lobbyist Bill McCoshen said Tuesday that he "has some news to share about his future in the next day or two". McCoshen, who served as a member of the cabinet of former Governor Tommy Thompson in the mid-1990s, is considering applying for the GOP nomination for Democratic incumbent Tony Evers.


AZ-02: Kirsten Engel said last week that she is stepping down from her Senate seat to focus on her campaign to succeed her Democrat, retired MP Ann Kirkpatrick. A vacant legislative seat in Arizona is filled by appointment to a member of the party that last held it.

FL-13: Anna Paulina Luna, nominated for 2020, received a GOP nomination from Donald Trump on Tuesday in her second campaign for a seat in St. Petersburg. She is facing a primary that includes former lobbyist Amanda Makki, who defeated Luna 36-28 last year, and charitable founder Audrey Henson.

WY-AL: State MP Chuck Gray became the third Republican to end his pre-election campaign against incumbent Liz Cheney on Tuesday in the days following Donald Trump's decision to endorse another candidate, 2018 gubernatorial candidate Harriet Hageman. (You could even say he dropped his campaign.)


Mayor of Atlanta, GA: The University of Georgia came out with its first bipartisan primary poll for the Atlanta Journal Constitution this November, finding that former Mayor Kasim Reed and City Council President Felicia Moore are in the running for two places in space -But far in front -safe drain. Reed, who was ousted in 2018, tops Moore with 24-20, while none of the other candidates got more than 6% of the vote each.

We saw three more polls about this competition, but while they all concluded that Reed and Moore are able to move forward, there is some disagreement about how other contestants fare. In late July, a SurveyUSA poll for 11Alive News had Reed at the top with 17%, while Moore ousted little-known candidate Walter Reeves with 10-6 for second place. However, in a mid-August poll for 20/20 Insight, which AJC said was "conducted independently of a campaign," Moore was at the top with 21%, while Reed shared councilor Andre Dickens with 15-15 for the second bullet point.

At the end of the month, a Moore in-house employee at Brilliant Corners found her also in first place with 24%, while Reed topped Dickens with a broad 19-6.

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